Present Membership Type:
Nazionale
Class:
Scienze Fisiche
Category:
II Astronomia, Geodesia, Geofisica e applicazioni
Section:
B: Geodesia, Geofisica e applicazioni
Election Year: 1987
Email: giulianof.panza [@] lincei.it
Profile
Giuliano F. Panza: former professor of Seismology, Trieste University, Head of Group at Abdus Salam ICTP. Scientific activity marked by the broad multidisciplinary nature of the problems considered: integrated analysis of structure and dynamics of the lithosphere-asthenosphere system; integrated approach to modelling seismic waves in near-field and far-field; earthquake-prone lineaments and premonitory seismicity patterns. In cooperation with the Italian Space Agency, the simultaneous use of the neo-deterministic approach for the ground motion estimation, of the monitoring of the space-time variation of hazard, and of the Earth observation data, lead to the construction of time-dependent hazard models based on strong geophysical ground that have generated particular interest at Civil Defence level. Recent studies have evidenced the relevant role of CO₂ Earth mantle degassing in the exosphere.
His work ultimately led to the establishment of the empirical Panza-Rugarli law (2024). The fundament of the Panza-Rugarli law is a deterministic safety principle in seismology and structural engineering used to define a reliable "design magnitude" in favor of safety. The "design magnitude" refers to the maximum expected earthquake strength that a structure is engineered to withstand safely during and beyond its lifetime. This law helps engineers determine appropriate safety margins by providing a systematic method for selecting seismic parameters that ensure building resilience during earthquakes. The Panza-Rugarli law uses a modern interpretation of Hutton’s empiricism, mediated through the need to manage uncertainty quantitatively (a capability that Hutton did not have), adopting an approach that, while not a direct application of the pure Gauss error theory, shares its logic for handling randomness and uncertainty. Therefore, the Panza-Rugarli law acts as a bridge between the philosophy of uniformity in natural processes and modern mathematical tools for quantifying and managing the uncertainty of such processes over time
Other attachments:
1708_G_Panza_CVLINCEINEW.pdf
1708_G_Panza_bibiografia23042026.pdf